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Climate Change News – August 25, 2006
 
 
Top Climatologist Testifies in Case of Vermont vs. Auto Manufacturers
 
On August 14, Dr. James Hansen, an eminent climatologist and director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) for the past 25 years, provided testimony to the United States District Court for the District of Vermont in a case of auto manufacturers vs. the State of Vermont. The auto manufacturers maintain that the state is attempting to set vehicle mileage standards in its attempts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. State officials argue that states can regulate what cars are sold within state boundaries under clean air statutes.
 
Dr. Hansen said, "The occurrence of abrupt climate changes this century is practically certain if we continue with business-as-usual greenhouse gas emission.... The two largest and fastest growing sources of emissions are vehicle emissions and power plants." Dr. Hansen finds that under a "Business-as-Usual" scenario, the world will experience atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations double that of the pre-industrial world by 2050. The implications of this CO2 doubling are a global average temperature rise of ~ 2°C above year 2000 temperature, with temperatures continuing to rise rapidly through 2100 and beyond.
 
Dr. Hansen testified that an alternate scenario, with substantial reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, could limit global average temperature rise to 1°C by 2050, but that time is rapidly running out to move to a lower GHG Alternative scenario. Dr. Hansen testified, "In the first half-decade of the 21st century, CO2 emissions have continued to increase at about two percent per year. If this growth continues another decade, the 35 percent increase of CO2 emissions (between 2000 and 2015) will make it implausible to achieve the Alternative scenario."
 
Since it is now 2006, this suggests world government leaders have only ten years to move to an alternate lower carbon scenario that would address GHG emissions from vehicles and power plants, as well as other sources. Dr. Hansen concludes that “global warming of 1°C (1.8°F) above year 2000 temperature would be a large climate change and 3°C (5.4°F) would yield ‘a different planet.’”
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: Times Argus and Declaration of James E. Hansen (pdf format) 
 

Sen. Feinstein Outlines Democratic Plan to Address Climate Change
 
On August 24, Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) offered a new Democratic outline of a plan to address global warming when the next session of Congress convenes in January. The bills would require carmakers to improve mileage and would push power producers to meet emission standards, while extending California-style green-technology programs nationwide. In addition to previously introduced legislation, the plan adds a proposal to bring agriculture and forest managers into a "cap and trade" market system for greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs). This would allow farmers and landowners who plant trees or convert crops into biofuels to earn emission credits that could be sold to companies that exceed emission limits.
 
During an interview Sen. Feinstein said, "There now is a scientific consensus that global warming is happening and we can't stop it.... The effort we have to make is to restrict it." As reported by the San Francisco Chronicle, Sen. Feinstein said the goal would be to keep global temperature increases to 1-2°C degrees by the end of the century. To do so by 2050, she said, the United States would have to cut carbon dioxide emissions to levels 70 percent below those of 1990.
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: San Francisco Chronicle and Text of Sen. Feinstein’s Speech


New Insurance Products Address Climate Change
 
On August 22, investor coalition Ceres released a report identifying 190 innovative products and services from approximately 90 insurance companies, brokers, and organizations in 15 countries that reduce climate-related financial losses and greenhouse gas emissions, many of which are win-win solutions. More than half of the activities come from U.S. companies, covering climate change solutions including energy efficiency, green building design, carbon emissions trading and sustainable driving practices.
 
Ceres President Mindy Lubber said, "Climate change poses unprecedented risks to the insurance industry, but it also creates vast opportunities for new products and services to help consumers and businesses reduce their losses, while also reducing the pollution causing global warming.... We've seen encouraging progress from big-name insurers and brokers since last year's devastating hurricanes, but many more creative services will be needed as we confront what is perhaps the biggest threat in the industry's history."
 
An examples of innovative offerings is Firemen's Fund Insurance, which is launching a first-of-its-kind 'green' coverage, including rate credits and other incentives, for commercial building owners who re-build damaged properties using green and LEED-certified building practices. Also, Marsh, the world's largest insurance broker, and AIG, the world's largest insurer, have launched carbon emissions credit guarantees and other new renewable energy-related insurance products that are allowing more companies to participate in carbon offset projects and growing carbon emissions trading markets. The insurance industry is the world's largest industry, with $3.4 trillion in yearly premium revenue.
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: Ceres, US News & World Report, Fortune and Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory 
 

Wildfires Threaten Release of Mercury Stocks in Northern Soils And Plants
 
A five-year long study published in the August 19 online issue of Geophysical Research Letters finds that with climate change rapidly affecting northern forests and wetlands, mercury reserves once protected in cold, wet soils are being exposed to burning, likely triggering large releases of mercury to the atmosphere. The study, conducted by Michigan State University (MSU), the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS),the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the Canadian Forest Service, indicates that drier conditions in northern regions will cause soil to relinquish its hold on hundreds of years of mercury accumulation, sending that mercury back into the air at levels considerably higher than previously realized.  The report says that boreal wildfires, which are becoming more frequent and intense, are unleashing this sequestered mercury at levels up to 15 times greater than previously calculated.
 
Lead author Merritt Turetsky, a professor with the MSU Departments of Plant Biology and Fisheries and Wildlife, said "We’re talking about mercury that has been relatively harmless, trapped in peat for hundreds of years, rapidly being spewed back into the air.... Some of it will fall back onto soils. Some will fall into lakes and streams where it could become toxic in food chains." The report concludes that "ongoing and projected increases in boreal wildfire activity due to climate change will increase atmospheric mercury emissions, contributing to the anthropogenic alteration of the global mercury cycle and exacerbating mercury toxicities for northern food chains."

Click on the following links for the full news stories: TerraDailyMichigan State University and Geophysical Research Letters 
 

Temperatures Up, European Spring Arriving One to Two Weeks Early
 
Scientists from 17 nations have examined 125,000 observational series of 542 plants and 19 animal species in 21 European countries from 1971 to 2000 found "conclusive proof" that the seasons are changing, with spring arriving earlier each year. The study was published in the July 4 online issue of Global Change Biology.
 
As reported by BBC, spring is beginning on average six to eight days earlier than it did 30 years ago. In regions such as Spain, which saw the greatest increases in temperatures, the season began up to two weeks earlier. The team of researchers also found that the onset of autumn has been delayed by an average of three days over the same period.
 
One of the paper's lead authors, Tim Sparks from the UK's Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH), said the findings did not go as far as pointing the finger of blame at human-induced climate change, but said it did show that there was a direct link between rising temperatures and changes to plant and animal behavior. Sparks said, "If you have species that are dependent on each other changing at different rates, that could just break down the food web."
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: BBC and Global Change Biology 
 

Industry Begins to Back Climate Legislation
 
Corporations are keenly aware that lawmakers' views on climate change are shifting. Some industry groups that have been fighting greenhouse gas (GHG) regulations are beginning to call for federal regulation. While Congress has yet to pass climate legislation, many states are rushing to fill the void, most notably with the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (AB 32) and the seven-state Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI).
 
Alan Richardson, president and CEO of the American Public Power Association recently told a group of electric utility operators in Minnesota, "The issue is no longer whether there is a human contribution to global warming but the extent of that contribution...[There is] an emerging public consensus and a building political directive that inaction is not a viable strategy."
 
In a speech at the National Press Club on August 18, Jim Press, president of Toyota North America, challenged other automakers to work with Congress to set reasonable goals for boosting fuel efficiency and curbing greenhouse gases. Press said, "It's time for us to stop being the 'against' industry and to come out strong for something important, like a better Earth and a better quality of life." 
 
Click on the following link for the full news story: San Francisco Chronicle 
 

Zogby Poll: Americans Link Hurricane Katrina and Heat Wave to Global Warming
 
A telephone survey sponsored by the National Wildlife Federation, conducted Aug. 11–16 and including 1,018 U.S. respondents, found that an overwhelming majority say they are more convinced that global warming is happening than they were two years ago.
 
As reported by Zobgy International, three-fourths of likely voters (74%) are more convinced from events over the past two years that global warming is happening, with two in five (40%) saying they are much more convinced. Just over one in five (22%) say they are less convinced global warming is occurring. Majorities of people in each political party are also more convinced, but Democrats (87%) and independents (82%) are much more likely so than Republicans (56%). Most men (70%) and women (77%) are also more convinced global warming is happening.
 
Approximately two-thirds of respondents feel that global warming has played at least some influence or more on more intense hurricanes, on more frequent droughts in parts of the U.S., on this summer’s heat wave, and on less snowfall in parts of the country. A majority (58%) believes global warming has been a major or at least some influence on increased wildfires in parts of the U.S. Nearly three in four respondents (72%) agree that addressing global warming by requiring major industries to reduce green house gas emissions can improve the environment without harming the economy; this is up five percentage points from 2003 (67%) when the same question was asked.
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: Zogby InternationalUnited Press International and Zogby: Full Report 
 

CFC Replacements Exacerbate Climate Change
 
A recent report from United Nations (UN) climate experts finds that the hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) promoted by the Montreal Protocol to address the stratospheric ozone hole are significant greenhouse gases. According to the UN report, use of HCFCs and HFCs is projected to add the equivalent of 2 billion to 3 billion tons of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to the atmosphere by 2015.
 
As reported by the New York Times, the volume of greenhouse gases created as a result of the Montreal agreement's phase out of CFCs is two times to three times the amount of global-warming carbon dioxide the Kyoto agreement is supposed to eliminate. While the volume released is much smaller than CO2 emissions, the HCFCs and HFCs are up to 10,000 times more potent than CO2 in terms of greenhouse warming.
 
Alexander von Bismarck, campaigns director for EIA's Washington, D.C. office said, "As it stands, the global warming impact of world HCFCs and HFCs emissions will rival the total greenhouse gas emissions of the entire European Union within 10 years."
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: New York TimesU.S. Newswire and UNEP 
 

Coral Bleaching from High Ocean Temperatures: Warnings Continue
 
On August 21, scientists said Caribbean Sea temperatures have reached their annual high two months ahead of schedule—a sign coral reefs may suffer the same widespread damage as last year. Al Strong, a scientist with the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Coral Reef Watch said sea temperatures around Puerto Rico and the Florida Keys reached 83.5°F on August 19—a high not normally seen until September. Strong said, "We've got a good two more months of heating, if it were to go up another degree, it would be pretty serious. That's what we had last year." As reported by Associated Press, researchers fear another hot summer could be disastrous for coral still recovering from last year, when up to 40 percent of coral died in abnormally warm seas around the U.S. Virgin Islands.
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: Associated Press (1)Associated Press (2) and NOAA
 

EESI Briefings
 
September 13, 2006     Understanding the Energy-Water-Climate Nexus
 
The Environmental and Energy Study Institute (EESI) invites you to a Congressional briefing, entitled "Understanding the Energy-Water-Climate Nexus: Implications for Policy,"on the connections between water use in the energy sector, energy use in the water sector and climate change, as well as some of the concerns for public policy. The briefing will be held Wednesday, August 13 from 3:00-4:30 p.m. in Room 485, Russell Senate Office Building, Washington DC. Click the following link for more information: EESI
 
DVD’s Available: Copies of DVD's are available of EESI's recent climate briefings: "Agriculture and Climate Change: Threats and Opportunities," May 24, 2005; "What Does Climate Change Mean for the Arctic? How is Alaska Being Affected?," March 15, 2005; "Perspectives on Climate Change: Business Initiatives to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions," November 18, 2004; State and Local Government Climate Change Efforts,” September 28, 2004; Climate Change Post 2100,” September 21, 2004; “Abrupt Climate Change,” September 15, 2004; and Discussing Climate Change: A Multi-faceted View of the Climate Stewardship Act,” June 3, 2004. The discs are $20 ea. (incl. shipping/handling) plus tax 5.75% (DC residents only). Click on the following link to order a DVD: EESI Climate Change DVD's
 

Events
 
September 12, 2006       Summit on GHG Emission Reductions Through Increased Energy Efficiency
 
The Alliance to Save Energy is holding a summit entitled "Energy Efficiency: The First Solution for Addressing Climate Change" that will highlight how the U.S. and international community are utilizing energy-efficient measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, enhance energy security, improve the economy, and combat climate change. The event will be held Tuesday, September 12, from 8:00 a.m. - 2:00 p.m. at Union Station, 50 Massachusetts Avenue, NE, Washington, DC. There is a charge for this event. Register before August 29 to take advantage of the early bird rate. Click on the following link for more information: Alliance to Save Energy 
 

September 18-21, 2006    The Washington Summit on Climate Stabilization
 
The Climate Institute celebrates its 20th anniversary by hosting a gathering of experts to assess the likelihood that the Earth is tipping toward abrupt and highly disruptive climate change. The conference is aimed at identifying practical methods of achieving the stabilization of global greenhouse concentrations within the lifetime of the Summit’s attendees. The events will take place at the L’Enfant Plaza Hotel, Washington, DC. Click on the following link for more information: The Climate Institute
 
 
September 2006 - January 2007     Climate Project Training Program
 
Al Gore and a team of renowned climate change scientists and educators will train more than 1,000 individuals to give a version of his presentation on the effects of ­ and solutions for - global warming. The presentation and training program are based on the message Mr. Gore gives in the documentary film and book, An Inconvenient Truth. Seven training sessions will be held between late September and January 2007 in Nashville, Tennessee. The two-day program is designed to familiarize trainees with the climate change science, equip them with new presentation skills, and develop a new dynamic online learning community for ongoing activities. Click on the following link for more information: The Climate Project
 
 
October 1, 2006      Weather Channel Climate Special
 
The Weather Channel is launching a new program that will explore how climate change affects people in this country and elsewhere. It's host, Dr. Heidi Cullen will help people understand the link between man-made weather changes melting distant polar ice caps and changes in their everyday lives. The show, entitled "The Climate Code," premieres on Sunday, October 1, on the Weather Channel. See your newspaper for local listings.
 
 
October 2-4, 2006   Transatlantic Cooperative Research Conference
 
The Royal Norwegian Embassy is hosting a conference entitled "Arctic Meltdown – Global Effects" where leading scientists will present research and complex models pointing towards the urgency for action on climate change, and policy makers from both sides of the Atlantic will discuss the best ways to act. Main themes include the Arctic as a key observation post for global climate change; natural resources and environmental challenges in the Arctic; research as a basis for policy and governance; and transatlantic collaboration in research, innovation and education. The conference will be held October 2-4 at The Carnegie Institution, Washington DC. For more information please contact Anders Skandsen of the Royal Norwegian Embassy at ansk@mfa.no or 202-333-6000, or click on the following link: Royal Norwegian Embassy
 
 

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