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Climate Change News – December 8, 2006
 
Brought to you by the Environmental and Energy Study Institute               Carol Werner, Executive Director
 
 
Nepal's Farmers Affected by Climate Change
 
Himalayan communities are facing catastrophic floods as weather patterns alter with a changing climate. In the southern Nepalese village of Khetbari, subjected to recent damaging floods, villager and farmer Mr. Tamang said, "The floods are coming more severely, more frequently. Not only is the rainfall far heavier these days than anyone has ever experienced, it is also coming at different times of the year."
 
Tekmadur Majsi, whose lands have been progressively washed away by the Tirshuli river, said "The rains are increasingly unpredictable. We always used to have a little rain each month, but now when there is rain it's very different. It's more concentrated and intense. It means that crop yields are going down."
 
 In southern Nepal villagers observe signs of a changing climate. One notes that wild pigs in the forest now have their young earlier, another that certain types of rice and cucumber will no longer grow where they used to, a third that the days are hotter and that some trees now flower twice a year.
 
As reported by the Guardian, these anecdotal observations are backed by scientists who are recording in Nepal some of the fastest long-term increases in temperatures and rainfall in the world. At least 44 of Nepal's and neighboring Bhutan's Himalayan lakes, which collect glacier meltwater, are said by the UN to be growing so rapidly that they could burst their banks within a decade.
 
Click on the following link for the full news story: Guardian 
 

Southern Ocean May Slow Global Warming
 
A report by researchers at the University of Arizona in Tucson, to be published in the December 15 issue of the Journal of Climate, finds that the Southern Ocean around Antarctica is likely to take up about 20 percent more carbon dioxide (CO2) and absorb more heat from the atmosphere than previously expected. Lead researcher Joellen L. Russell, an assistant professor of geosciences at The University of Arizona in Tucson, has said that while the phenomena would slow global warming, it won't reverse or stop it.
 
The heat and carbon transfer is affected by winds over the Southern ocean, particularly near the Antarctic. The study finds that the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds have moved southward in the last 30 years, increasing their effect on the region. Previous computer models have not been updated with this wind shift, so underestimate carbon uptake and heat transfer.
 
Dr. Russell said, "More heat stored in the ocean means less heat stored in the atmosphere. That's also true for carbon dioxide, the major greenhouse gas. But there are consequences. This isn't an unqualified good, even if more carbon dioxide and heat goes into the ocean. As the atmosphere warms, storing more heat in the ocean will cause sea levels to rise even faster as the warmed water expands. Adding more CO2 to the oceans will change their chemistry, making the water more acidic and less habitable for some marine organisms."
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: India Daily and Science Daily 
 

CDC Says Climate Change is a Health Threat
 
On December 4, Dr. Howard Frumkin, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC's) National Center for Environmental Health, said "Climate change is perhaps the largest looming public health challenge we face, certainly in the environmental health field." According to UPI, Frunkin said the "rising scientific certainty" of climate change should mobilize environmental health professionals to take aggressive action.
 
Frumkin, speaking at the opening session of the 2006 National Environmental Public Health Conference in Atlanta, acknowledged that while no one knows the exact details of climate change or how fast it will occur, "...given credible indications there is a danger there, we need to act to protect people from that danger. It's standard public health practice."
 
CDC Director Julie Gerberding also echoed Frumkin's sentiments, emphasizing the need to tackle climate change even amid its intimidating complexity. "I'm going to try to use the word 'climate change' in every speech I give," Gerberding said.
 
Click on the following link for the full news story: UPI 
 

Climate Warming Reduces Ocean Food Supply
 
Satellite data gathered over the past 10 years has shown for the first time that the growth of marine phytoplankton - the basis of the entire ocean food chain - is being adversely affected by rising sea temperatures. NASA scientists have found that as the oceans become warmer, they are less able to support the phytoplankton that have been an important influence on moderating climate change. This poses an enormous potential threat to fisheries and ecosystems.
 
"Rising levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are a key part of global warming. This study shows that as the climate warms, phytoplankton production goes down, but this also means that carbon dioxide uptake by the ocean plants will decrease," lead author Dr. Michael Behrenfeld of Oregon State University said. "That would allow carbon dioxide to accumulate more rapidly in the atmosphere, making the problem worse." This means that the carbon dioxide-phytoplankton system represents a positive feedback loop with respect to climate warming.
 
The scientists found local variations but a global drop in phytoplankton numbers with higher temperatures. "This clearly showed that overall ocean productivity decreases when the climate warms," Behrenfeld said. The research is published in the December 7 issue of Nature.
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: Reuters, NASA, The Independent and Nature 
 

IEA Sees Advanced Coal with Carbon Sequestration in 5-10 Years
 
On December 7, Harry Audus, general manager of the International Energy Agency (IEA) greenhouse gas research and development program, said advanced coal-fired power plants that bury carbon dioxide (CO2) will be up and running in 5-10 years but will not be financially viable unless governments impose tougher policies for fighting global warming.
 
Audus said, "Carbon capture could be demonstrated technically viable within 5-10 years but there's still no commercial incentives. So it's up to the politicians to get the commercial incentives in place." As reported by Reuters, a 2005 UN report said that filtering out CO2 and piping it into deep underground stores could meet 15-55 percent of the world's likely need to curb greenhouse gases by 2100 -- making geological storage perhaps the single biggest contributor.
 
Bert Metz, a Dutch co-chair of the UN report said carbon storage would only be attractive for power generators if carbon prices were stable at around US$25-US$30 a tonne. This week carbon traded at about 18.2 euros (US$24.19) a tonne for 2008 delivery on the European market, but carbon barely trades at all after 2012, when many emissions targets expire, leaving a price vacuum.
 
David Garman, US Under Secretary of Energy, said "The fundamental problem is that carbon capture and storage now costs around US$100 a tonne. We have to cut that cost to US$10 a tonne or thereabouts in order for it to be widely adopted and available."
 
Click on the following link for the full news story: Reuters 
 
 
Committee Hearing on Media and Climate Change
 
The US Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works held a hearing December 6 to examine the role of media in presenting the science of climate change. Sen. Boxer (D-CA), who will be taking over the chair from Sen. Inhofe (R-OK) in January 2007, said she plans to hold a series of hearings on global warming with industry representatives, scientists, state officials and faith-based groups. She has also formed two new sub-committees to deal with global warming issues.
 
The outgoing chairperson blamed the media for "alarmism and bias" in reporting on climate change issues. Sen. Boxer said, "My other sadness about this hearing is again we're arguing about who believes what rather than moving toward solving the problem." David Deming, a geophysicist from the University of Oklahoma and one of the witnesses brought in by Sen. Inhofe, said that the cause of global warming is unknown, and that the warming is "likely to be beneficial to humanity." One of the witnesses called by Democrats, Naomi Oreskes, a science historian at the University of California, said that "not one paper in the random sample (of 928 scientific reports and papers) disagreed with the consensus position about the reality of global warming and its human causes." The two Democratic witnesses said that the scientific consensus on the threat of greenhouse gases to the world was overwhelming.

Click on the following links for the full news stories: US Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, San Jose Mercury News and San Francisco Chronicle
 

Food Security to Worsen with Climate Change
 
At its December 5-7 meeting in Washington DC, the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) announced its plans to intensify and streamline research to reduce developing countries' vulnerability to climate change. “The livelihoods of billions of people in developing countries, particularly those in the tropics, will be severely challenged as crop yields decline due to shorter growing seasons,” said Dr. Robert S. Zeigler, Director General of the International Rice Research Institute. For instance, a new CGIAR-supported study, Can Wheat Beat the Heat?, forecasts a 51 percent decrease in the amount of India's most favorable wheat-growing land, due to hotter, drier weather, placing at least 200 million people at greater hunger risk. In many parts of sub-Saharan Africa, the growing period could decrease by more than 20 percent, according to another CGIAR-supported report. Conditions best suited to wheat growing will shift away from the tropics, where most of the poorest countries are situated, towards the poles and higher elevations. Much of Siberia is projected to become farm land.
 
CGIAR researchers will seek to develop food crops capable of withstanding climatic changes such as higher temperature, drought and floods, and will help farmers manage greenhouse gases. "Anticipating and planning for climate change is imperative if farmers in poor countries are to avert forecast declines in yields of the world’s most important food crops. Yet, adaptation is not a substitute for reducing new and removing existing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere—our only long-term option,” said Dr. Louis V. Verchot, a climate change scientist with the World Agroforestry Centre.
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: Environment News Service, CGIAR (pdf format) and Impacts Map (pdf format)
 

NY Plans Auctioning All CO2 Permits
 
New York, a member of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), plans to auction 100 percent of its permits to emit carbon dioxide instead of giving away a part of them to power plants. RGGI seeks to reduce emissions from power plants 10 percent by 2009. The move is expected to favor trading and prevent very low carbon prices, as witnessed in Europe when the European Union gave away its permits at no cost. "We think New York's proposal will have an enormous influence on what the other (RGGI) states decide to do with their allowances," said Dale Bryk, a lawyer for the Natural Resources Defense Council.
 
Click on the following link for the full news story: Reuters
 

California Companies Support "Cap and Trade" Mechanisms
 
An overwhelming majority of respondents to a Cantor Fitzgerald Brokerage, L.P. survey of California businesses said the best way to meet California's greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction goal is through a “cap and trade” program. As reported by Business Wire, 91 percent of businesses that were surveyed said that California should develop a “cap and trade” program in order to meet the requirements of the Global Warming Solutions Act which was signed by Governor Schwarzenegger in September. The act requires Californians to reduce GHG emissions up to 25 percent by 2020.
 
Josh Margolis, Managing Director of Cantor Fitzgerald Brokerage, said "It is a bold new world out there. Helping save the environment and operating a successful and profitable business are very compatible objectives. Business leaders recognize that the Global Warming Solutions Act, if wisely implemented, can be a valuable solution to the greenhouse gas problem. Air quality entrepreneurs are lining up - competing with each other - to figure out how to turn waste streams into profit streams. Cantor Fitzgerald looks forward to providing market places where business can transact GHG reductions and do their part to get the job done."
 
Click on the following link for the full news story: Business Wire 
 
 
Livestock a Significant Contributor to Climate Change
 
A new report from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) says that livestock globally generates more greenhouse gases (18 percent) than the transport sector. According to the report, Livestock's Long Shadow: Environmental Issues and Options, the livestock sector is responsible for 9 percent of carbon dioxide emissions and produces an even larger share of other anthropogenic greenhouse gases - 65 percent of nitrous oxide (from manure) and 37 percent of methane (produced by the digestive system).
 
The report states that methane emissions from livestock manure management in the United States were one of the highest in the world in 2004. When manure is managed in a liquid form, as is done in the United States, more methane is emitted. The United States also leads in carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel burning while manufacturing nitrogen fertilizer to grow crops for livestock.
 
The researchers suggest that increasing the efficiency of livestock production and feed crops cultivation, reducing emissions from animals' digestive systems by improving diet, and establishing biogas plants to recycle manure will help in cutting livestock emissions.
 
Click on the following links for the full news stories: The New Standard, The Financial Express, FAO and the FAO Report (pdf format)
 
 
EESI Briefings
 
DVD’s Available: Copies of DVD's are available of EESI's recent climate briefings: "Agriculture and Climate Change: Threats and Opportunities," May 24, 2005; "What Does Climate Change Mean for the Arctic? How is Alaska Being Affected?," March 15, 2005; "Perspectives on Climate Change: Business Initiatives to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions," November 18, 2004; State and Local Government Climate Change Efforts,” September 28, 2004; Climate Change Post 2100,” September 21, 2004; “Abrupt Climate Change,” September 15, 2004; and Discussing Climate Change: A Multi-faceted View of the Climate Stewardship Act,” June 3, 2004. The discs are $20 ea. (incl. shipping/handling) plus tax 5.75% (DC residents only). Click on the following link to order a DVD: EESI Climate Change DVD's
 
 
Events
 

December 13, 2006         State and Federal Green House Gas Regulation
 
The American Council On Renewable Energy in collaboration with the American Bar Association's (ABA) Renewable Energy Resources Committee will host a teleconference with a panel of experts who will review the current status of green house gas regulation in New York State, California and at the federal level and discuss how such regulation can serve to foster or discourage the development of renewable energy. The event takes place on Wednesday, December 13 from 12:00-1:30 pm EDT.  There is a $20 charge for this event.  Click on the following link for more information: ABA
 

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